CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati Result: 3-1 — How the Model Called It, 26 September 2026
CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati finished 3-1 on 26 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: CF Montreal 3-1 FC Cincinnati.
- Result: CF Montreal.
- The model gave this outcome a 32.4% chance before kick-off.
Final score
CF Montreal 3-1 FC Cincinnati in Major League Soccer, 26 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| CF Montreal | 32.4% |
| Draw | 26.4% |
| FC Cincinnati | 41.2% |
The model made FC Cincinnati the most likely outcome at 41.2%. What happened was CF Montreal, which it gave 32.4%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Major League Soccer table and fixtures
- CF Montreal — Profile, squad and fixtures
- FC Cincinnati — Profile, squad and fixtures
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