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FOOTBALLUEFA Europa Leaguematch-recap18/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Lillestrom vs Torreense Result: 1-2 — How the Model Called It, 17 September 2026

Lillestrom vs Torreense finished 1-2 on 17 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Lillestrom 1-2 Torreense.
  • Result: Torreense.
  • The model gave this outcome a 14.4% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Lillestrom 1-2 Torreense in UEFA Europa League, 17 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Lillestrom vs Torreense these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Lillestrom59.5%
Draw26.1%
Torreense14.4%

The model made Lillestrom the most likely outcome at 59.5%. What happened was Torreense, which it gave 14.4%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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