New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union Result: 1-3 — How the Model Called It, 29 August 2026
New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union finished 1-3 on 29 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: New York Red Bulls 1-3 Philadelphia Union.
- Result: Philadelphia Union.
- The model gave this outcome a 48.8% chance before kick-off.
Final score
New York Red Bulls 1-3 Philadelphia Union in Major League Soccer, 29 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls | 27.5% |
| Draw | 23.7% |
| Philadelphia Union | 48.8% |
The model's most likely outcome — Philadelphia Union at 48.8% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Major League Soccer table and fixtures
- New York Red Bulls — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Philadelphia Union — Profile, squad and fixtures
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