Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls Prediction — Model Probabilities for 6 September 2026
MatchSense model probabilities for Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls on 6 September 2026. Numbers refresh as lineups and market prices move.
Key takeaways
- 3 further markets for this fixture are priced on the analysis page.
- Seattle Sounders come in on 0-2-8 from their last 10.
- These numbers move again once the lineups are confirmed.
Seattle Sounders take on New York Red Bulls on 6 September 2026, 00:30 UTC in Major League Soccer. The MatchSense model is analysing this fixture; its probabilities appear here once published.
Recent form
Seattle Sounders have lost 8 of their last 10, averaging 0.7 scored and 2.1 conceded. New York Red Bulls have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, averaging 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Beyond the match result, the model also prices 3 further markets for this fixture — total goals, both sides scoring and goal-margin lines among them — each with a modelled price, the difference against the market, and a confidence band. Those sit on the match analysis page.
Where the numbers come from
Attacking and defensive strength, Elo ratings, the run of recent results, home advantage and who is fit all feed the estimate. A first estimate goes out well before kickoff; a second follows when the team sheets are confirmed.
The full method is in How the MatchSense Prediction Model Works and How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities.
Go deeper
- Full Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Major League Soccer table and fixtures
- Seattle Sounders — Profile, squad and fixtures
- New York Red Bulls — Profile, squad and fixtures
This page is analytical and educational. Probabilities are not guarantees of any result.
Frequently asked questions
When do Seattle Sounders and New York Red Bulls play?
Kick-off is scheduled for 6 September 2026, 00:30 UTC in Major League Soccer.
Which markets are analysed for Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls?
Alongside the match result shown on this page, the model prices 3 further markets — total goals, both sides scoring and goal-margin lines among them — each with a modelled price, the difference against the market and a confidence band, on the match analysis page.
What form are Seattle Sounders and New York Red Bulls in?
Seattle Sounders have lost 8 of their last 10, averaging 0.7 scored and 2.1 conceded. New York Red Bulls bring a record of 3-2-5 from their last 10, averaging 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded. Recent form is one of the inputs behind the probabilities above.
How is the model's accuracy measured?
They are calibrated against historical fixtures: across a set of 60% calls, close to 60% should actually happen. No model can make a single match certain.
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