FOOTBALLUEFA Nations Leaguematch-recap08/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Albania vs San Marino Result: 2-1 — How the Model Called It, 6 October 2026
Albania vs San Marino finished 2-1 on 6 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Albania 2-1 San Marino.
- Result: Albania.
- The model gave this outcome a 89.7% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Albania 2-1 San Marino in UEFA Nations League, 6 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Albania vs San Marino these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Albania | 89.7% |
| Draw | 6.6% |
| San Marino | 3.7% |
The model's most likely outcome — Albania at 89.7% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Albania vs San Marino analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Nations League table and fixtures
- Albania — Profile, squad and fixtures
- San Marino — Profile, squad and fixtures
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