Arouca vs Santa Clara Result: 1-2 — How the Model Called It, 13 September 2026
Arouca vs Santa Clara finished 1-2 on 13 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Arouca 1-2 Santa Clara.
- Result: Santa Clara.
- The model gave this outcome a 33.0% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Arouca 1-2 Santa Clara in Primeira Liga, 13 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Arouca vs Santa Clara these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Arouca | 35.8% |
| Draw | 31.2% |
| Santa Clara | 33.0% |
The model made Arouca the most likely outcome at 35.8%. What happened was Santa Clara, which it gave 33.0%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Arouca vs Santa Clara analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Primeira Liga table and fixtures
- Arouca — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Santa Clara — Profile, squad and fixtures
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