FOOTBALLLigue 1match-recap30/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Auxerre vs Angers Result: 1-3 — How the Model Called It, 29 August 2026
Auxerre vs Angers finished 1-3 on 29 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Auxerre 1-3 Angers.
- Result: Angers.
- The model gave this outcome a 23.7% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Auxerre 1-3 Angers in Ligue 1, 29 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Auxerre vs Angers these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Auxerre | 49.7% |
| Draw | 26.7% |
| Angers | 23.7% |
The model made Auxerre the most likely outcome at 49.7%. What happened was Angers, which it gave 23.7%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Auxerre vs Angers analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Ligue 1 table and fixtures
- Auxerre — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Angers — Profile, squad and fixtures
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