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FOOTBALLChampionshipmatch-recap28/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Blackburn vs Middlesbrough Result: 2-1 — How the Model Called It, 22 August 2026

Blackburn vs Middlesbrough finished 2-1 on 22 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Blackburn 2-1 Middlesbrough.
  • Result: Blackburn.
  • The model gave this outcome a 25.8% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Blackburn 2-1 Middlesbrough in Championship, 22 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Blackburn vs Middlesbrough these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Blackburn25.8%
Draw30.6%
Middlesbrough43.6%

The model made Middlesbrough the most likely outcome at 43.6%. What happened was Blackburn, which it gave 25.8%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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