FOOTBALLPremier Leaguematch-recap20/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Bournemouth vs Liverpool Result: 0-1 — How the Model Called It, 20 September 2026
Bournemouth vs Liverpool finished 0-1 on 20 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool.
- Result: Liverpool.
- The model gave this outcome a 37.8% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool in Premier League, 20 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Bournemouth vs Liverpool these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 32.4% |
| Draw | 29.9% |
| Liverpool | 37.8% |
The model's most likely outcome — Liverpool at 37.8% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Bournemouth vs Liverpool analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Premier League table and fixtures
- Bournemouth — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Liverpool — Profile, squad and fixtures
Get the weekly briefing
Next week's fixtures, how last week's published picks actually settled, and the newest analysis. One email a week. Unsubscribe in one click.
We never share your address, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe.
Related reading
- How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities
- Fulham vs Manchester United Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 20 September 2026
- Leeds vs Crystal Palace Result: 0-0 — How the Model Called It, 20 September 2026
- Manchester City vs Sunderland Result: 5-3 — How the Model Called It, 20 September 2026
- Nottingham Forest vs Coventry Result: 0-1 — How the Model Called It, 19 September 2026