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FOOTBALLPremier Leaguematch-recap19/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Nottingham Forest vs Coventry Result: 0-1 — How the Model Called It, 19 September 2026

Nottingham Forest vs Coventry finished 0-1 on 19 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry.
  • Result: Coventry.
  • The model gave this outcome a 27.7% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Nottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry in Premier League, 19 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Nottingham Forest vs Coventry these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Nottingham Forest42.7%
Draw29.5%
Coventry27.7%

The model made Nottingham Forest the most likely outcome at 42.7%. What happened was Coventry, which it gave 27.7%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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