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FOOTBALLUEFA Europa Leaguematch-recap15/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Celje vs Omonia Nicosia Result: 0-3 — How the Model Called It, 15 October 2026

Celje vs Omonia Nicosia finished 0-3 on 15 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Celje 0-3 Omonia Nicosia.
  • Result: Omonia Nicosia.
  • The model gave this outcome a 33.4% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Celje 0-3 Omonia Nicosia in UEFA Europa League, 15 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Celje vs Omonia Nicosia these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Celje39.2%
Draw27.4%
Omonia Nicosia33.4%

The model made Celje the most likely outcome at 39.2%. What happened was Omonia Nicosia, which it gave 33.4%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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