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FOOTBALLMajor League Soccermatch-recap10/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model

CF Montreal vs Charlotte Result: 1-2 — How the Model Called It, 9 September 2026

CF Montreal vs Charlotte finished 1-2 on 9 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: CF Montreal 1-2 Charlotte.
  • Result: Charlotte.
  • The model gave this outcome a 36.3% chance before kick-off.

Final score

CF Montreal 1-2 Charlotte in Major League Soccer, 9 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave CF Montreal vs Charlotte these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
CF Montreal38.0%
Draw25.7%
Charlotte36.3%

The model made CF Montreal the most likely outcome at 38.0%. What happened was Charlotte, which it gave 36.3%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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