Coventry vs Fulham Prediction — Model Probabilities for 24 October 2026
MatchSense model probabilities for Coventry vs Fulham on 24 October 2026. With recent form and previous meetings for context.
Key takeaways
- The model's highest probability outcome is Fulham at 39.5%.
- Fulham: 39.5%.
- Coventry: 33.6%.
- Draw: 26.9%.
- Coventry are 17th in the table, Fulham 18th.
- Probabilities are refreshed once confirmed lineups are published.
Coventry take on Fulham on 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC in Premier League. Below are the MatchSense model's probabilities for this fixture, alongside the form and head-to-head context behind them.
Coventry sit 17th in the Premier League table on 6 points from 7 games, with Fulham 18th on 5 points, a single place apart.
What the model makes of it
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Fulham | 39.5% |
| Coventry | 33.6% |
| Draw | 26.9% |
These are frequencies, not forecasts — 55% describes how often similar fixtures end that way, not what will happen here.
Recent form
Coventry bring a record of 5-0-5 from their last 10, keeping 2 clean sheets. Across their last 10, Fulham show 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats, keeping 3 clean sheets.
Behind the estimate
The model blends both teams' attacking and defensive strength, Elo ratings, recent form, home advantage and player availability. A first estimate goes out well before kickoff; a second follows when the team sheets are confirmed.
The full method is in How the MatchSense Prediction Model Works and How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities.
Go deeper
- Full Coventry vs Fulham analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Premier League table and fixtures
- Coventry — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Fulham — Profile, squad and fixtures
This page is analytical and educational. Probabilities are not guarantees of any result.
Frequently asked questions
Who is more likely to win, Coventry or Fulham?
The MatchSense model gives Fulham the highest probability at 39.5%. Even as the leading call it holds under half the probability, which makes this an open fixture.
When do Coventry and Fulham play?
Kick-off is scheduled for 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC in Premier League.
What form are Coventry and Fulham in?
Coventry bring a record of 5-0-5 from their last 10, keeping 2 clean sheets. Across their last 10, Fulham show 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats, keeping 3 clean sheets. Recent form is one of the inputs behind the probabilities above.
How reliable is this estimate?
They are calibrated against historical fixtures: across a set of 60% calls, close to 60% should actually happen. No model can make a single match certain.
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Related reading
- How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities
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