Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 10 September 2026
Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma finished 1-1 on 10 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Fenerbahçe 1-1 AS Roma.
- Result: A draw.
- The model gave this outcome a 17.8% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Fenerbahçe 1-1 AS Roma in UEFA Champions League, 10 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | 36.6% |
| Draw | 17.8% |
| AS Roma | 45.7% |
The model made AS Roma the most likely outcome at 45.7%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 17.8%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Fenerbahçe vs AS Roma analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Champions League table and fixtures
- Fenerbahçe — Profile, squad and fixtures
- AS Roma — Profile, squad and fixtures
Get the weekly briefing
Next week's fixtures, how last week's published picks actually settled, and the newest analysis. One email a week. Unsubscribe in one click.
We never share your address, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe.
Related reading
- How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities
- RB Leipzig vs Manchester City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities for 4 November 2026
- Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis Balompié Prediction — Model Probabilities for 4 November 2026
- FC Porto vs SSC Napoli Prediction — Model Probabilities for 4 November 2026
- SK Slavia Praha vs Arsenal FC Prediction — Model Probabilities for 4 November 2026