Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI Prediction — Model Probabilities for 5 November 2026
MatchSense model probabilities for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI on 5 November 2026. With recent form and previous meetings for context.
Key takeaways
- The model's highest probability outcome is Hapoel Beer Sheva at 58.3%.
- Hapoel Beer Sheva: 58.3%.
- Draw: 26.0%.
- OFI: 15.7%.
- Hapoel Beer Sheva are 18th in the table, OFI 9th.
- Probabilities are refreshed once confirmed lineups are published.
Hapoel Beer Sheva welcome OFI on 5 November 2026, 20:00 UTC in UEFA Europa League. Below are the MatchSense model's probabilities for this fixture, alongside the form and head-to-head context behind them.
Hapoel Beer Sheva sit 18th in the UEFA Europa League table on 1 point from 1 game, with OFI 9th on 3 points — 9 places apart in a 36-team competition.
Who does the model favour?
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 58.3% |
| Draw | 26.0% |
| OFI | 15.7% |
Read a probability as a long-run frequency: a 55% call means fixtures that look like this one finish that way roughly 55 times in 100.
How both sides arrive
Hapoel Beer Sheva bring a record of 4-2-4 from their last 10, keeping 5 clean sheets. OFI have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, keeping 5 clean sheets.
How are these numbers produced?
Attacking and defensive strength, Elo ratings, the run of recent results, home advantage and who is fit all feed the estimate. An early version publishes days before kickoff and is revised once confirmed lineups land.
The full method is in How the MatchSense Prediction Model Works and How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities.
Go deeper
- Full Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Europa League table and fixtures
- Hapoel Beer Sheva — Profile, squad and fixtures
- OFI — Profile, squad and fixtures
This page is analytical and educational. Probabilities are not guarantees of any result.
Frequently asked questions
Who is more likely to win, Hapoel Beer Sheva or OFI?
The MatchSense model gives Hapoel Beer Sheva the highest probability at 58.3%. That is a real but not decisive edge over the other results.
When do Hapoel Beer Sheva and OFI play?
Kick-off is scheduled for 5 November 2026, 20:00 UTC in UEFA Europa League.
What form are Hapoel Beer Sheva and OFI in?
Hapoel Beer Sheva bring a record of 4-2-4 from their last 10, keeping 5 clean sheets. OFI have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, keeping 5 clean sheets. Recent form is one of the inputs behind the probabilities above.
How accurate are these probabilities?
They are calibrated against historical fixtures: across a set of 60% calls, close to 60% should actually happen. No model can make a single match certain.
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