Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares Result: 2-1 — How the Model Called It, 22 September 2026
Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares finished 2-1 on 22 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Independiente Medellin 2-1 Jaguares.
- Result: Independiente Medellin.
- The model gave this outcome a 69.6% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Independiente Medellin 2-1 Jaguares in Primera A, 22 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 69.6% |
| Draw | 18.2% |
| Jaguares | 12.2% |
The model's most likely outcome — Independiente Medellin at 69.6% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Primera A table and fixtures
- Independiente Medellin — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Jaguares — Profile, squad and fixtures
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