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FOOTBALLPrimera Amatch-recap23/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali Result: 0-1 — How the Model Called It, 23 September 2026

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali finished 0-1 on 23 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Santa Fe 0-1 Deportivo Cali.
  • Result: Deportivo Cali.
  • The model gave this outcome a 25.1% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Santa Fe 0-1 Deportivo Cali in Primera A, 23 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Santa Fe47.4%
Draw27.5%
Deportivo Cali25.1%

The model made Santa Fe the most likely outcome at 47.4%. What happened was Deportivo Cali, which it gave 25.1%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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