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FOOTBALLUEFA Champions Leaguematch-recap28/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Lask Linz vs Celtic Result: 4-1 — How the Model Called It, 25 August 2026

Lask Linz vs Celtic finished 4-1 on 25 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Lask Linz 4-1 Celtic.
  • Result: Lask Linz.
  • The model gave this outcome a 66.5% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Lask Linz 4-1 Celtic in UEFA Champions League, 25 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Lask Linz vs Celtic these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Lask Linz66.5%
Draw16.7%
Celtic16.8%

The model's most likely outcome — Lask Linz at 66.5% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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