FOOTBALLLigue 1match-recap13/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Lille vs Estac Troyes Result: 2-0 — How the Model Called It, 13 September 2026
Lille vs Estac Troyes finished 2-0 on 13 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Lille 2-0 Estac Troyes.
- Result: Lille.
- The model gave this outcome a 63.2% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Lille 2-0 Estac Troyes in Ligue 1, 13 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Lille vs Estac Troyes these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Lille | 63.2% |
| Draw | 20.9% |
| Estac Troyes | 15.9% |
The model's most likely outcome — Lille at 63.2% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Lille vs Estac Troyes analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Ligue 1 table and fixtures
- Lille — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Estac Troyes — Profile, squad and fixtures
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