Lyon vs Le Havre Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 29 August 2026

Lyon vs Le Havre finished 1-1 on 29 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: Lyon 1-1 Le Havre.
Result: A draw.
The model gave this outcome a 22.0% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Lyon 1-1 Le Havre in Ligue 1, 29 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Lyon vs Le Havre these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
Lyon	64.5%
Draw	22.0%
Le Havre	13.5%

The model made Lyon the most likely outcome at 64.5%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 22.0%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full Lyon vs Le Havre analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Ligue 1 table and fixtures
Lyon — Profile, squad and fixtures
Le Havre — Profile, squad and fixtures

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