FOOTBALLUEFA Nations Leaguematch-recap06/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Malta vs Andorra Result: 1-0 — How the Model Called It, 4 October 2026
Malta vs Andorra finished 1-0 on 4 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Malta 1-0 Andorra.
- Result: Malta.
- The model gave this outcome a 52.1% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Malta 1-0 Andorra in UEFA Nations League, 4 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Malta vs Andorra these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Malta | 52.1% |
| Draw | 28.1% |
| Andorra | 19.8% |
The model's most likely outcome — Malta at 52.1% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Malta vs Andorra analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Nations League table and fixtures
- Malta — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Andorra — Profile, squad and fixtures
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