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FOOTBALLChampionshipmatch-recap19/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Millwall vs West Ham Result: 2-2 — How the Model Called It, 19 September 2026

Millwall vs West Ham finished 2-2 on 19 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Millwall 2-2 West Ham.
  • Result: A draw.
  • The model gave this outcome a 26.4% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Millwall 2-2 West Ham in Championship, 19 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Millwall vs West Ham these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Millwall23.3%
Draw26.4%
West Ham50.3%

The model made West Ham the most likely outcome at 50.3%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 26.4%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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