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FOOTBALLUEFA Nations Leaguematch-recap06/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Montenegro vs Armenia Result: 0-0 — How the Model Called It, 5 October 2026

Montenegro vs Armenia finished 0-0 on 5 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Montenegro 0-0 Armenia.
  • Result: A draw.
  • The model gave this outcome a 23.1% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Montenegro 0-0 Armenia in UEFA Nations League, 5 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Montenegro vs Armenia these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Montenegro59.7%
Draw23.1%
Armenia17.2%

The model made Montenegro the most likely outcome at 59.7%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 23.1%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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