FOOTBALLSerie Amatch-recap13/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Napoli vs Bologna Result: 1-0 — How the Model Called It, 13 September 2026
Napoli vs Bologna finished 1-0 on 13 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Napoli 1-0 Bologna.
- Result: Napoli.
- The model gave this outcome a 40.4% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Napoli 1-0 Bologna in Serie A, 13 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Napoli vs Bologna these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Napoli | 40.4% |
| Draw | 30.0% |
| Bologna | 29.6% |
The model's most likely outcome — Napoli at 40.4% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Napoli vs Bologna analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Serie A table and fixtures
- Napoli — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Bologna — Profile, squad and fixtures
Get the weekly briefing
Next week's fixtures, how last week's published picks actually settled, and the newest analysis. One email a week. Unsubscribe in one click.
We never share your address, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe.
Related reading
- How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities
- Genoa vs Juventus Prediction — Model Probabilities for 28 October 2026
- Monza vs Napoli Prediction — Model Probabilities for 28 October 2026
- Torino vs Monza Result: 3-2 — How the Model Called It, 23 October 2026
- Lazio vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities for 24 October 2026