FOOTBALLUEFA Europa Leaguematch-recap28/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model
OFI vs CSKA Sofia Result: 3-0 — How the Model Called It, 20 August 2026
OFI vs CSKA Sofia finished 3-0 on 20 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: OFI 3-0 CSKA Sofia.
- Result: OFI.
- The model gave this outcome a 32.7% chance before kick-off.
Final score
OFI 3-0 CSKA Sofia in UEFA Europa League, 20 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave OFI vs CSKA Sofia these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| OFI | 32.7% |
| Draw | 24.0% |
| CSKA Sofia | 43.3% |
The model made CSKA Sofia the most likely outcome at 43.3%. What happened was OFI, which it gave 32.7%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full OFI vs CSKA Sofia analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Europa League table and fixtures
- OFI — Profile, squad and fixtures
- CSKA Sofia — Profile, squad and fixtures
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