Persik Kediri vs Dewa United Prediction — Model Probabilities for 5 September 2026
MatchSense model probabilities for Persik Kediri vs Dewa United on 5 September 2026. Numbers refresh as lineups and market prices move.
Key takeaways
- 4 further markets for this fixture are priced on the analysis page.
- Persik Kediri are 13th in the table, Dewa United 6th.
- These numbers move again once the lineups are confirmed.
Persik Kediri welcome Dewa United on 5 September 2026, 08:30 UTC in Liga 1. The MatchSense model is analysing this fixture; its probabilities appear here once published.
In the Liga 1 table, Persik Kediri are 13th and Dewa United 6th, 3 points between them.
What each side brings into this
Persik Kediri have lost 6 of their last 10, keeping 3 clean sheets. Dewa United have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, conceding just 0.7 a game.
When these two have met
Across 3 meetings it is close: 1 to Persik Kediri, 2 to Dewa United, 0 drawn. They last met on 7 February 2026: Persik Kediri 2-1 Dewa United, Persik Kediri taking it.
Beyond the match result, the model also prices 4 further markets for this fixture — total goals, both sides scoring and goal-margin lines among them — each with a modelled price, the difference against the market, and a confidence band. Those sit on the match analysis page.
Where the numbers come from
Attacking and defensive strength, Elo ratings, the run of recent results, home advantage and who is fit all feed the estimate. A first estimate goes out well before kickoff; a second follows when the team sheets are confirmed.
The full method is in How the MatchSense Prediction Model Works and How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities.
Go deeper
- Full Persik Kediri vs Dewa United analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Liga 1 table and fixtures
- Persik Kediri — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Dewa United — Profile, squad and fixtures
This page is analytical and educational. Probabilities are not guarantees of any result.
Frequently asked questions
When do Persik Kediri and Dewa United play?
Kick-off is scheduled for 5 September 2026, 08:30 UTC in Liga 1.
Which markets are analysed for Persik Kediri vs Dewa United?
Alongside the match result shown on this page, the model prices 4 further markets — total goals, both sides scoring and goal-margin lines among them — each with a modelled price, the difference against the market and a confidence band, on the match analysis page.
What happened the last time Persik Kediri played Dewa United?
They last met on 7 February 2026, Persik Kediri 2-1 Dewa United. Across 3 meetings, Persik Kediri have won 1, Dewa United 2, with 0 drawn.
How reliable is this estimate?
Accuracy is measured with Brier score and log loss over thousands of completed fixtures, which is what makes a 60% call mean roughly 60 in 100 — not a certainty about this one.
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