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FOOTBALLUEFA Europa Leaguematch-recap23/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Plzen vs Levski Sofia Result: 1-2 — How the Model Called It, 22 October 2026

Plzen vs Levski Sofia finished 1-2 on 22 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Plzen 1-2 Levski Sofia.
  • Result: Levski Sofia.
  • The model gave this outcome a 21.9% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Plzen 1-2 Levski Sofia in UEFA Europa League, 22 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Plzen vs Levski Sofia these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Plzen52.5%
Draw25.6%
Levski Sofia21.9%

The model made Plzen the most likely outcome at 52.5%. What happened was Levski Sofia, which it gave 21.9%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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