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FOOTBALLLiga 1match-preview26/10/20262 min readMatchSense Model

PSS Sleman vs Pusamania Borneo Prediction — Model Probabilities for 27 October 2026

MatchSense model probabilities for PSS Sleman vs Pusamania Borneo on 27 October 2026. With recent form and previous meetings for context.

Key takeaways

  • The model's highest probability outcome is Pusamania Borneo at 46.1%.
  • Pusamania Borneo: 46.1%.
  • Draw: 28.1%.
  • PSS Sleman: 25.8%.
  • 2 further markets for this fixture are priced on the analysis page.
  • PSS Sleman are 15th in the table, Pusamania Borneo 11th.
  • Probabilities are refreshed once confirmed lineups are published.

PSS Sleman take on Pusamania Borneo on 27 October 2026, 08:30 UTC in Liga 1. What follows is the MatchSense model's read on this fixture, with the recent record of both sides for context.

PSS Sleman come into this 15th in the Liga 1 table with 4 points; Pusamania Borneo are 11th on 6 points.

The model's read

OutcomeModel probability
Pusamania Borneo46.1%
Draw28.1%
PSS Sleman25.8%

These are frequencies, not forecasts — 55% describes how often similar fixtures end that way, not what will happen here.

Recent form

Across their last 10, PSS Sleman show 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats, keeping 2 clean sheets. Pusamania Borneo have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, keeping 5 clean sheets.

When these two have met

The two have met just once in our records. They last met on 2 February 2025: Pusamania Borneo 1-0 PSS Sleman, Pusamania Borneo taking it.

Beyond the match result, the model also prices 2 further markets for this fixture — total goals, both sides scoring and goal-margin lines among them — each with a modelled price, the difference against the market, and a confidence band. Those sit on the match analysis page.

Behind the estimate

Attacking and defensive strength, Elo ratings, the run of recent results, home advantage and who is fit all feed the estimate. An early version publishes days before kickoff and is revised once confirmed lineups land.

The full method is in How the MatchSense Prediction Model Works and How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities.

Go deeper

This page is analytical and educational. Probabilities are not guarantees of any result.

Frequently asked questions

Who is more likely to win, PSS Sleman or Pusamania Borneo?

The MatchSense model gives Pusamania Borneo the highest probability at 46.1%. That is a real but not decisive edge over the other results.

When do PSS Sleman and Pusamania Borneo play?

Kick-off is scheduled for 27 October 2026, 08:30 UTC in Liga 1.

Which markets are analysed for PSS Sleman vs Pusamania Borneo?

Alongside the match result shown on this page, the model prices 2 further markets — total goals, both sides scoring and goal-margin lines among them — each with a modelled price, the difference against the market and a confidence band, on the match analysis page.

What happened the last time PSS Sleman played Pusamania Borneo?

They last met on 2 February 2025, Pusamania Borneo 1-0 PSS Sleman. In their one previous meeting, PSS Sleman have won 0, Pusamania Borneo 1, with 0 drawn.

How reliable is this estimate?

The model is scored against past results, so a 60% probability has historically landed near 60% of the time. A single match remains uncertain.

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