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FOOTBALLChampionshipmatch-recap28/08/20261 min readMatchSense Model

QPR vs Bolton Result: 0-0 — How the Model Called It, 22 August 2026

QPR vs Bolton finished 0-0 on 22 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: QPR 0-0 Bolton.
  • Result: A draw.
  • The model gave this outcome a 28.4% chance before kick-off.

Final score

QPR 0-0 Bolton in Championship, 22 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave QPR vs Bolton these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
QPR47.1%
Draw28.4%
Bolton24.5%

The model made QPR the most likely outcome at 47.1%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 28.4%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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