QPR vs Middlesbrough Result: 0-1 — How the Model Called It, 5 September 2026

QPR vs Middlesbrough finished 0-1 on 5 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: QPR 0-1 Middlesbrough.
Result: Middlesbrough.
The model gave this outcome a 40.5% chance before kick-off.

Final score

QPR 0-1 Middlesbrough in Championship, 5 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave QPR vs Middlesbrough these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
QPR	34.7%
Draw	24.8%
Middlesbrough	40.5%

The model's most likely outcome — Middlesbrough at 40.5% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full QPR vs Middlesbrough analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Championship table and fixtures
QPR — Profile, squad and fixtures
Middlesbrough — Profile, squad and fixtures

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