Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 4 October 2026
Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel finished 1-1 on 4 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Rep. Of Ireland 1-1 Israel.
- Result: A draw.
- The model gave this outcome a 28.9% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Rep. Of Ireland 1-1 Israel in UEFA Nations League, 4 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Rep. Of Ireland | 44.0% |
| Draw | 28.9% |
| Israel | 27.1% |
The model made Rep. Of Ireland the most likely outcome at 44.0%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 28.9%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Nations League table and fixtures
- Rep. Of Ireland — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Israel — Profile, squad and fixtures
Get the weekly briefing
Next week's fixtures, how last week's published picks actually settled, and the newest analysis. One email a week. Unsubscribe in one click.
We never share your address, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe.
Related reading
- How to Read Football Prediction Probabilities
- England vs Czechia Result: 3-0 — How the Model Called It, 6 October 2026
- Croatia vs Spain Result: 1-2 — How the Model Called It, 6 October 2026
- Belarus vs Finland Result: 1-0 — How the Model Called It, 6 October 2026
- Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Result: 0-2 — How the Model Called It, 6 October 2026