San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC Result: 1-5 — How the Model Called It, 23 August 2026
San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC finished 1-5 on 23 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: San Jose Earthquakes 1-5 Minnesota United FC.
- Result: Minnesota United FC.
- The model gave this outcome a 28.3% chance before kick-off.
Final score
San Jose Earthquakes 1-5 Minnesota United FC in Major League Soccer, 23 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 46.2% |
| Draw | 25.5% |
| Minnesota United FC | 28.3% |
The model made San Jose Earthquakes the most likely outcome at 46.2%. What happened was Minnesota United FC, which it gave 28.3%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Major League Soccer table and fixtures
- San Jose Earthquakes — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Minnesota United FC — Profile, squad and fixtures
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