FOOTBALLChampionshipmatch-recap05/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Stoke City vs Charlton Result: 4-0 — How the Model Called It, 5 September 2026
Stoke City vs Charlton finished 4-0 on 5 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Stoke City 4-0 Charlton.
- Result: Stoke City.
- The model gave this outcome a 42.7% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Stoke City 4-0 Charlton in Championship, 5 September 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Stoke City vs Charlton these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Stoke City | 42.7% |
| Draw | 27.8% |
| Charlton | 29.5% |
The model's most likely outcome — Stoke City at 42.7% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Stoke City vs Charlton analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Championship table and fixtures
- Stoke City — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Charlton — Profile, squad and fixtures
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