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FOOTBALLUEFA Nations Leaguematch-recap08/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia Result: 3-0 — How the Model Called It, 6 October 2026

Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia finished 3-0 on 6 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Switzerland 3-0 FYR Macedonia.
  • Result: Switzerland.
  • The model gave this outcome a 84.4% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Switzerland 3-0 FYR Macedonia in UEFA Nations League, 6 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Switzerland84.4%
Draw10.8%
FYR Macedonia4.8%

The model's most likely outcome — Switzerland at 84.4% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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