West Ham vs Charlton Result: 1-2 — How the Model Called It, 22 August 2026

West Ham vs Charlton finished 1-2 on 22 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: West Ham 1-2 Charlton.
Result: Charlton.
The model gave this outcome a 10.7% chance before kick-off.

Final score

West Ham 1-2 Charlton in Championship, 22 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave West Ham vs Charlton these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
West Ham	65.7%
Draw	23.6%
Charlton	10.7%

The model made West Ham the most likely outcome at 65.7%. What happened was Charlton, which it gave 10.7%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full West Ham vs Charlton analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Championship table and fixtures
West Ham — Profile, squad and fixtures
Charlton — Profile, squad and fixtures

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