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FOOTBALLLiga 1match-recap10/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Arema FC vs Bhayangkara FC Result: 2-2 — How the Model Called It, 10 October 2026

Arema FC vs Bhayangkara FC finished 2-2 on 10 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Arema FC 2-2 Bhayangkara FC.
  • Result: A draw.
  • The model gave this outcome a 28.7% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Arema FC 2-2 Bhayangkara FC in Liga 1, 10 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Arema FC vs Bhayangkara FC these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Arema FC40.7%
Draw28.7%
Bhayangkara FC30.6%

The model made Arema FC the most likely outcome at 40.7%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 28.7%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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