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FOOTBALLUEFA Champions Leaguematch-recap22/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Aston Villa FC vs Viking FK Result: 3-1 — How the Model Called It, 21 October 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Viking FK finished 3-1 on 21 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Aston Villa FC 3-1 Viking FK.
  • Result: Aston Villa FC.
  • The model gave this outcome a 65.6% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Aston Villa FC 3-1 Viking FK in UEFA Champions League, 21 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Aston Villa FC vs Viking FK these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Aston Villa FC65.6%
Draw14.2%
Viking FK20.3%

The model's most likely outcome — Aston Villa FC at 65.6% — is the one that happened.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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