FC Bayern München vs Arsenal FC Result: 2-2 — How the Model Called It, 21 October 2026
FC Bayern München vs Arsenal FC finished 2-2 on 21 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: FC Bayern München 2-2 Arsenal FC.
- Result: A draw.
- The model gave this outcome a 22.3% chance before kick-off.
Final score
FC Bayern München 2-2 Arsenal FC in UEFA Champions League, 21 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave FC Bayern München vs Arsenal FC these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| FC Bayern München | 44.3% |
| Draw | 22.3% |
| Arsenal FC | 33.4% |
The model made FC Bayern München the most likely outcome at 44.3%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 22.3%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full FC Bayern München vs Arsenal FC analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Champions League table and fixtures
- FC Bayern München — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Arsenal FC — Profile, squad and fixtures
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