Austin vs Philadelphia Union Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 23 August 2026

Austin vs Philadelphia Union finished 1-1 on 23 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: Austin 1-1 Philadelphia Union.
Result: A draw.
The model gave this outcome a 25.9% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Austin 1-1 Philadelphia Union in Major League Soccer, 23 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Austin vs Philadelphia Union these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
Austin	30.0%
Draw	25.9%
Philadelphia Union	44.1%

The model made Philadelphia Union the most likely outcome at 44.1%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 25.9%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full Austin vs Philadelphia Union analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Major League Soccer table and fixtures
Austin — Profile, squad and fixtures
Philadelphia Union — Profile, squad and fixtures

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