Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 6 September 2026

Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes finished 1-1 on 6 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: Austin 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes.
Result: A draw.
The model gave this outcome a 25.4% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Austin 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes in Major League Soccer, 6 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
Austin	40.4%
Draw	25.4%
San Jose Earthquakes	34.2%

The model made Austin the most likely outcome at 40.4%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 25.4%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Major League Soccer table and fixtures
Austin — Profile, squad and fixtures
San Jose Earthquakes — Profile, squad and fixtures

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