FOOTBALLPrimeira Ligamatch-recap01/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Benfica vs Estoril Result: 2-1 — How the Model Called It, 31 August 2026
Benfica vs Estoril finished 2-1 on 31 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Benfica 2-1 Estoril.
- Result: Benfica.
- The model gave this outcome a 86.0% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Benfica 2-1 Estoril in Primeira Liga, 31 August 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Benfica vs Estoril these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Benfica | 86.0% |
| Draw | 10.8% |
| Estoril | 3.2% |
The model's most likely outcome — Benfica at 86.0% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Benfica vs Estoril analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Primeira Liga table and fixtures
- Benfica — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Estoril — Profile, squad and fixtures
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