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FOOTBALLLiga 1match-recap05/09/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Bhayangkara FC vs Persebaya Surabaya Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 5 September 2026

Bhayangkara FC vs Persebaya Surabaya finished 1-1 on 5 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Bhayangkara FC 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya.
  • Result: A draw.
  • The model gave this outcome a 26.5% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Bhayangkara FC 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya in Liga 1, 5 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Bhayangkara FC vs Persebaya Surabaya these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Bhayangkara FC35.3%
Draw26.5%
Persebaya Surabaya38.2%

The model made Persebaya Surabaya the most likely outcome at 38.2%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 26.5%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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Related reading

Bhayangkara FC vs Persebaya Surabaya Result (5 September 2026): Final Score & Model Accuracy