FOOTBALLChampionshipmatch-recap14/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Burnley vs Charlton Result: 2-2 — How the Model Called It, 13 October 2026
Burnley vs Charlton finished 2-2 on 13 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Burnley 2-2 Charlton.
- Result: A draw.
- The model gave this outcome a 27.0% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Burnley 2-2 Charlton in Championship, 13 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Burnley vs Charlton these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Burnley | 57.1% |
| Draw | 27.0% |
| Charlton | 15.9% |
The model made Burnley the most likely outcome at 57.1%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 27.0%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Burnley vs Charlton analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Championship table and fixtures
- Burnley — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Charlton — Profile, squad and fixtures
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