Burnley vs Middlesbrough Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 2 September 2026

Burnley vs Middlesbrough finished 1-1 on 2 September 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough.
Result: A draw.
The model gave this outcome a 21.6% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough in Championship, 2 September 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Burnley vs Middlesbrough these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
Burnley	29.1%
Draw	21.6%
Middlesbrough	49.3%

The model made Middlesbrough the most likely outcome at 49.3%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 21.6%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full Burnley vs Middlesbrough analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
Championship table and fixtures
Burnley — Profile, squad and fixtures
Middlesbrough — Profile, squad and fixtures

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