FOOTBALLSerie Amatch-recap13/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Cagliari vs Juventus Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 11 October 2026
Cagliari vs Juventus finished 1-1 on 11 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Cagliari 1-1 Juventus.
- Result: A draw.
- The model gave this outcome a 25.4% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Cagliari 1-1 Juventus in Serie A, 11 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Cagliari vs Juventus these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Cagliari | 18.7% |
| Draw | 25.4% |
| Juventus | 55.9% |
The model made Juventus the most likely outcome at 55.9%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 25.4%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Cagliari vs Juventus analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Serie A table and fixtures
- Cagliari — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Juventus — Profile, squad and fixtures
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