Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg Result: 2-2 — How the Model Called It, 22 October 2026
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg finished 2-2 on 22 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Celje 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg.
- Result: A draw.
- The model gave this outcome a 21.4% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Celje 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg in UEFA Europa League, 22 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Celje | 24.3% |
| Draw | 21.4% |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 54.3% |
The model made Red Bull Salzburg the most likely outcome at 54.3%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 21.4%.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Europa League table and fixtures
- Celje — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Red Bull Salzburg — Profile, squad and fixtures
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