FOOTBALLUEFA Europa Leaguematch-recap23/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica Result: 1-4 — How the Model Called It, 22 October 2026
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica finished 1-4 on 22 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Omonia Nicosia 1-4 Benfica.
- Result: Benfica.
- The model gave this outcome a 72.9% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Omonia Nicosia 1-4 Benfica in UEFA Europa League, 22 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia | 10.8% |
| Draw | 16.4% |
| Benfica | 72.9% |
The model's most likely outcome — Benfica at 72.9% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- UEFA Europa League table and fixtures
- Omonia Nicosia — Profile, squad and fixtures
- Benfica — Profile, squad and fixtures
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