Celta Vigo vs Osasuna Result: 1-2 — How the Model Called It, 27 August 2026

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna finished 1-2 on 27 August 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

Final score: Celta Vigo 1-2 Osasuna.
Result: Osasuna.
The model gave this outcome a 20.5% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Celta Vigo 1-2 Osasuna in La Liga, 27 August 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Celta Vigo vs Osasuna these chances:

Outcome	Model probability
Celta Vigo	52.3%
Draw	27.2%
Osasuna	20.5%

The model made Celta Vigo the most likely outcome at 52.3%. What happened was Osasuna, which it gave 20.5%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

Go deeper

Full Celta Vigo vs Osasuna analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
La Liga table and fixtures
Celta Vigo — Profile, squad and fixtures
Osasuna — Profile, squad and fixtures

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