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FOOTBALLChampionshipmatch-recap10/10/20261 min readMatchSense Model

Charlton vs Bristol City Result: 1-1 — How the Model Called It, 10 October 2026

Charlton vs Bristol City finished 1-1 on 10 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.

Key takeaways

  • Final score: Charlton 1-1 Bristol City.
  • Result: A draw.
  • The model gave this outcome a 28.8% chance before kick-off.

Final score

Charlton 1-1 Bristol City in Championship, 10 October 2026.

What the model expected

Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Charlton vs Bristol City these chances:

OutcomeModel probability
Charlton34.1%
Draw28.8%
Bristol City37.1%

The model made Bristol City the most likely outcome at 37.1%. What happened was a draw, which it gave 28.8%.

One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.

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