Chicago Fire vs New York City FC Result: 2-1 — How the Model Called It, 10 October 2026
Chicago Fire vs New York City FC finished 2-1 on 10 October 2026. Here is that result set against the model's pre-match probabilities.
Key takeaways
- Final score: Chicago Fire 2-1 New York City FC.
- Result: Chicago Fire.
- The model gave this outcome a 46.7% chance before kick-off.
Final score
Chicago Fire 2-1 New York City FC in Major League Soccer, 10 October 2026.
What the model expected
Before kick-off, the MatchSense model gave Chicago Fire vs New York City FC these chances:
| Outcome | Model probability |
|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 46.7% |
| Draw | 24.1% |
| New York City FC | 29.2% |
The model's most likely outcome — Chicago Fire at 46.7% — is the one that happened.
One match does not test a model. An outcome given 30% is supposed to happen about three times in ten, so these numbers only mean something read across hundreds of fixtures.
Go deeper
- Full Chicago Fire vs New York City FC analysis — lineups, statistics, head-to-head and every market the model prices.
- Major League Soccer table and fixtures
- Chicago Fire — Profile, squad and fixtures
- New York City FC — Profile, squad and fixtures
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